In Mr. Hallam's latest article, "Women Investors Have Higher Returns in Good Times and Bad", he pulls the reader in by asking them who they think are better drivers? Male or female? The majority of American's say men are superior in this aspect; however, it turns out that 80% of all serious car crashes are caused by male drivers. My theory for this is that men believe they are better drivers than they really are so they take risks on the road (speeding, not wearing seat belts, running red lights, etc.). Women are generally better investors too. Men are less likely to follow simple investing rules such as "buy low, sell high" and don't sell when the stock market crashes. Probably because men think they can cheat the system and earn a rare profit, but women know better.
Another one of Mr. Hallam's articles I was interested in is "Doing the Math Behind a Calculated Move to Distant Shores." In this piece, Hallam talks about the advantages and disadvantages he faced in his move to Singapore. I have been surprised since I've moved here of how high the car prices are (I believe they have a 100% tax?) There is good reason to this however because since Singapore is such a small country, the roads would become over-clogged quickly with the selling of cheap cars. I agree completely about what Mr. Hallam said about the "expat disease". Families here love dishing out their money for simple pleasures like shopping, dining, and entertainment. Just because you have a high salary doesn't mean you should throw it all away.
I just had a look at Tobin's blog http://sb-sas17682.blogspot.sg/2012/08/august-16th-housing-market.html. He told us how his parents took advantage of the low real estate market happening in the US right now. I thought it was brilliant how his parents are renting out the newly-bought house to the old owners because since they have an attachment to the house, they will most likely take good care of it. It is always risky renting a house while living overseas though.
Thursday, 30 August 2012
August 30 - Women Investors Have Higher Returns
Tuesday, 28 August 2012
August 28 - Passive vs Active Investing
The big question from last class was, “Long term,
what gives higher odds of statistical success, passive or active
investing?” To answer this, first
we need to look at the differences between the two. Active investing involves either paying a fund manager to
take your money and invest it in what they believe will be the most profitable
companies or choosing your own stocks to purchase. The advantages of these are
that fund managers can sometimes correctly pick out future successful
companies, which will make you a profit, and same with buying your own
stock. The disadvantages for these
are that fund managers cost money and most people aren’t usually bright enough
to pick great stocks. Passive
investing is paying for a part of the entire stock market as a whole. If the stock market does well as a
whole, then your stock will increase.
Advantages to passive investing are you don’t need to pay for fund
managers and in history the stock market has usually done well long-term.
We
did some research on which investing type seems better statistically. The majority of the class and I agreed
that passive investing was a better option. Statistics show that more than 70% of the time, passive
investing will make a bigger profit than active investing. I asked my dad about the two. He both actively and passively
invests. He has some money put
into an Index fund in the S&P 500.
This money he is saving for my sister’s weddings, my brother and my
rehearsal dinners, and a new car in the future. He actively invests his retirement savings in a fund called
Fidelity Contra Fund.
Here
is an article on why we should passively invest. http://www.post-gazette.com/stories/business/news/retirement-active-or-passive-investment-636226/
One
question I have is that my dad says right now savings account percentage in
Singapore is 1%, no where close to the 9% we put into moneychimp.
August 26 - Stock Market Profits
The number one most important thing we learned last class
was the two ways the stock market gives profit. Those two ways are 1) Share price increases and 2) Dividend
payouts. When share prices
increase, your stock is worth more money, so you can sell that stock for a
higher price than you originally bought it for. So for those who bought stock from Apple when the company
was just starting spent very little cash on the stock. Now an Apple share costs around $700,
so if you held onto the stock you would make hundreds of dollars per share. What most Americans do unfortunately is
buy the stock when it’s already high and successful, so there isn’t much room
for the stock to go but down.
I
was a little confused on dividends during the class period so I decided to ask
my dad about them. He told me that
the way dividends work is that the company decides whether or not to use some
of their profits to give back to their stockholders. Every company has a board of directors, of which the
stockholders vote on, and the directors decide whether or not to give out
dividends. Most companies do give
out dividends. Stockholders can
either use these dividends to buy more stock or to keep for themselves. My father’s company receives dividends
from their stock, but instead of using it to buy more stock they use it on
current expenses.
This is a link to Home Depot’s stocks over the past ten
years. As you can see, the stocks
are at it’s highest right now in 2012.
This would be a good time to sell!
However, it might be a good time to buy too because the stocks could
continue to rise. The stock market
is a gamble; just remember to follow your head, not your heart.
August 22 - Challenging the SAS Culture
Last class we discussed the possibility of earning more
money over a lifetime by attending a cheaper college and investing the unused
tuition money instead of going to an expensive private school. Studies show that perhaps the reason
why Ivy League graduates tend to have higher-paying jobs isn’t because of their
diploma, but instead because of the hard work ethic that got them accepted to
the Ivy League school in the first place.
For example, say a high school graduate from a wealthy family got into
Yale University. Instead of paying
the fifty-something-thousand dollars a year for tuition, they decide to go to
University of Maine where they received a full scholarship. If their parents still gave them the
money for the Yale tuition, they could invest it. They would still probably get a high-paying job in the
future too because they have the skills to get them accepted to Yale.
I
talked to my dad about this idea.
He said it’s a good thought, but rarely would someone invest the money
saved by going to a cheaper college.
A parent would probably just keep the money instead of giving it to
their kid. There also aren’t a ton
of advantages to going to an Ivy League college. At my dad’s old law firm in Maine, there were Harvard Law
School grads that didn’t do so well in real law. There is some correlation to getting good grades and success
in professions, but it isn’t an exact correlation.
Here’s
an article discussing how Ivy League graduates generally earn more than their
liberal arts counters. The article states that Ivy League students generally
earn 32% more for their starting salaries than other graduates. Perhaps the reason for this is because
they are introduced and welcomed by successful businesses because of their
college achievements. It’s possible that there are better candidates from less
well-known schools, but they are brushed away when an Ivy League candidate
comes around.
August 16 - Real Estate
Today in class we discussed how the typical American buys
stock or real estate when they are at the highest prices or when the market is
doing well. I can understand why
because say the real estate market is high, a house you’re interested in might
cost $500,000. Ten years later,
when the market has gone down, the house might cost around $200,000. Now you don’t want to buy the house
because you think the low price equals a bad house. Mr. Hallam has really enlightened us on how much of a profit
we can make by buying the house for $200,000, renting it out and paying off
your mortgage, then selling the house when the market goes back up and it once
again costs $500,000. That is at
least a $300,000 profit.
I
talked to my dad about his experience with the housing market. When we left Maine in 2009, the housing
market wasn’t bad but it was dropping. My dad didn’t want to hold onto the house because of the
falling market. He said that he
considered renting it, but decided against it for a few reasons. One, that it is hard to rent out a
house while living in a different country because you can’t check up on the
renters and see how they’re taking care of the property. Property managers can be used to make
sure the renters are taking care of the house but there is also the possibility
that the renters will move out and the process of finding a new renter starts
all over. My dad ended up selling
the house for around $300,000. He
gained about a hundred thousand-dollar profit from when he bought the house in
the late 90s, when the housing market was lower.
One
suggestion my dad has for me is to start saving. I earn $50 a week for allowance, and I’m starting a job in a
couple of months. If I save 10% a
week, five dollars, for a whole year (52 weeks), that’ll make me $260. Saving will also teach me good habits
for the future when I have a real income.
August 14 - Investing
Last class Mr. Hallam talked
about investing, specific incomes for different professions, and his personal
investing history. Using
Moneychimp, the class played around with different interest rates and monthly
savings to see how much money we could earn over a certain time period. The results were shocking to me. Never before had I thought about how my
money could grow so much just by sitting in the bank. Mr. Hallam said he started investing as a 19 year old, which
inspired me to start as well since I’ll have a job in a few months. In class we discussed the median salary
of a teacher: about fourty grand. I
took the time to search the median incomes of different professions in America.
My family history contains a long
line of lawyers so I looked into the average salary of an American lawyer and
came up with $112,000. An American
pilot was $100,000 and an orthodontist $374,000. A median salary is the average salary of these
professions. Of course there will
be some individuals well over and well under the median. The median American salary is $41,000.
Gross income is a person’s total income before any taxes or
deductions. Net income includes
the costs of taxes and deductions.
The average net income of a student recently out of Duke University is
$79,000.
I
asked my dad about some of his financing.
He told me that he doesn’t really regret anything he’s done financially
in his lifetime. He has always
made a profit from buying and selling houses. One thing he has never tried however is personally buying
stock. I might be interested in
that one day.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)